Examinando por Autor "Rios Insua, David"
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Ítem Bayesian Reliability Analysis for Hardware/Software Systems(2010) Cano, Javier; Moguerza, Javier; Rios Insua, DavidÍtem Bayesian Reliability, Availability and Maintainability Analysis for Hardware Systems Described Through Continuous Time Markov Chains(2010) Cano, Javier; Moguerza, Javier; Rios Insua, DavidÍtem Cost Efficient Equitable Water Distribution in Algeria: A Bi-criteria Fair Division Problem with Network Constraints(2010) Udías, Angel Luis; Rios Insua, David; Cano, Javier; Fellag, HocineÍtem Forecasting and assessing consequences of aviation safety occurrences(Elsevier, 2019-01) Rios Insua, David; Alfaro, Cesar; Gomez, Javier; Hernandez-Coronado, Pablo; Bernal, FranciscoAviation safety is essential for the healthy growth and sustainability of the global economy. The implementation of Safety Management Systems to support safe service delivery has become one of the most important goals within the airline industry over the last years. However, in most cases the involved organisations use unsophisticated methods based on risk matrices for the development of such systems. In this paper, we present models to forecast and assess the consequences of aviation safety occurrences as part of a framework for aviation safety risk management at state level.Ítem Forecasting aviation safety occurrences(John Wiley & Sons Ltd., 2022-06-17) Flores, Bruno; Rios Insua, David; Alfaro, Cesar; Gomez, JavierWe present a general framework for aviation safety occurrence forecasting. This is a major component of a methodology for aviation safety risk management at national level. It covers novel models as well as novel combinations of earlier models. Having good quality occurrence and severity forecasting models is paramount to properly manage risks, maintain the confidence of its users and preserve the status of aviation as a safe transportation mode. The problem is involved due to the presence of complex effects like seasonality, trends, or stress that impact the rates of various occurrences and the uncertainty about future number of operations.Ítem Reliability and Optimization of the Operational Cost of Water Distribution in Kabylia(2010) Udias, Angel Luis; Rios Insua, David; Cano, Javier; Fellag, HocineÍtem Safer skies over Spain(Institute for Operations Research and Management Sciences, 2020-01-24) Elvira, Veronica; Bernal, Francisco; Hernandez-Coronado, Pablo; Herraiz, Esperanza; Alfaro, Cesar; Gomez, Javier; Rios Insua, DavidAgencia Estatal de Seguridad Aerea, the Spanish aviation safety and security agency, applied an innovative risk-analysis methodology and decision support system, developed in partnership with the Spanish Royal Academy of Sciences, to improve Spain’s national aviation safety. The agency uses several analytics methods to forecast the likelihood and impact of various types of safety occurrences. This enables management to focus attention and resources where they will be most effective. For example, a nonlinear optimization model allocates inspection resources. The result has been a major improvement in aviation safety, which led to reductions in aircraft repairs, maintenance, delays, and expenses. The agency estimated annual savings to be about 800 million euros in equivalent safety costs.