dc.contributor.author | Mauleón, Ignacio | |
dc.contributor.author | Hamoudi, Hamid | |
dc.date.accessioned | 2024-03-11T10:27:32Z | |
dc.date.available | 2024-03-11T10:27:32Z | |
dc.date.issued | 2017-03-31 | |
dc.identifier.citation | Mauleón, I., & Hamoudi, H. (2017). Photovoltaic and wind cost decrease estimation: Implications for investment analysis. Energy, 137, 1054-1065. | es |
dc.identifier.issn | 0360-5442 | |
dc.identifier.uri | https://hdl.handle.net/10115/30862 | |
dc.description | Artículo principal | es |
dc.description.abstract | This research intends to contribute to the analysis of planned and forecast future paths of renewable
energy capacity deployments - mainly wind and solar photovoltaic. The paths forecast by the International
Energy Agency as published in its roadmaps are considered. The learning rate of both energies, or
'learning by doing', that implies cost decreases as a result of capacity deployment is explicitly considered,
as well as its variability. New values for both wind and photovoltaic learning rates are estimated and
presented, that allow a significant simulation analysis. The implied uncertainty by that variability induces
risks for the financial planning of investments, and a framework to assess and manage that risk is
presented and implemented in the simulations conducted. It is shown that this parameter-variability is
significant and yields less favorable results as compared to standard static-fixed parameter simulations.
Alternative investment paths are considered, the results showing that a faster path does not necessarily
result in a significant increase in the accumulated final investment. Thus, accelerated deployment paths
are advised to fight climate change. | es |
dc.language.iso | eng | es |
dc.publisher | Energy | es |
dc.rights | Attribution-NonCommercial-NoDerivatives 4.0 Internacional | * |
dc.rights.uri | http://creativecommons.org/licenses/by-nc-nd/4.0/ | * |
dc.subject | Wind energy | es |
dc.subject | learning rate | es |
dc.subject | Photovoltaic learning rate | es |
dc.subject | Monte Carlos simulation | es |
dc.subject | Investment risk analysis | es |
dc.title | Photovoltaic and wind cost decrease estimation: Implications for investment analysis | es |
dc.type | info:eu-repo/semantics/article | es |
dc.identifier.doi | 10.1016/j.energy.2017.03.109 | es |
dc.rights.accessRights | info:eu-repo/semantics/closedAccess | es |