The impact of intelligence on decision-making: the EU and the Arab Spring

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dc.contributor.authorArcos, Rubén
dc.contributor.authorPalacios, José-Miguel
dc.date.accessioned2023-12-21T11:22:15Z
dc.date.available2023-12-21T11:22:15Z
dc.date.issued2018-02-06
dc.description.abstractThis article examines the 2007 EU all-source intelligence assessment ‘Worst Case Scenarios for the Narrower Middle East’ and the lack of policy response to the warning provided. SIT-6577/07 mostly predicted and provided forewarning on some of the events lately known as the Arab Spring, as well as a rise of anti-European terrorism, and an increase of refugees and migrants in the European Union. The article offers a post-mortem analysis of the key judgements and main findings of the most significant intelligence product declassified by the EU and discusses the main question: Why the warning was not effective?es
dc.identifier.citationRubén Arcos & José-Miguel Palacios (2018) The impact of intelligence on decision-making: the EU and the Arab Spring, Intelligence and National Security, 33:5, 737-754, DOI: 10.1080/02684527.2018.1434449es
dc.identifier.doi10.1080/02684527.2018.1434449es
dc.identifier.issn0268-4527
dc.identifier.urihttps://hdl.handle.net/10115/27647
dc.language.isoenges
dc.publisherRoutledge, Taylor & Francis Groupes
dc.rights.accessRightsinfo:eu-repo/semantics/openAccesses
dc.subjectEU INTCENes
dc.subjectSingle Intelligence Analysis Capacityes
dc.subjectEuropean Uniones
dc.subjectArab Springes
dc.subjectintelligencees
dc.subjectintelligence assessmentes
dc.subjectEuropean policy-makinges
dc.subjectintelligence post-mortemses
dc.titleThe impact of intelligence on decision-making: the EU and the Arab Springes
dc.typeinfo:eu-repo/semantics/articlees

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