The resumption of sports competitions after COVID-19 lockdown: The case of the Spanish football league

dc.contributor.authorBuldú, Javier M.
dc.contributor.authorAntequera, Daniel R.
dc.contributor.authorAguirre, Jacobo
dc.date.accessioned2025-01-08T15:07:30Z
dc.date.available2025-01-08T15:07:30Z
dc.date.issued2020-09
dc.descriptionfunded by MINECO, Spain (FIS2017- 84151-P).
dc.description.abstractIn this work, we present a stochastic discrete-time SEIR Susceptible- Exposed-Infectious-Recovered model adapted to describe the propagation of COVID-19 during a football tournament. Specifically, we are concerned about the re-start of the Spanish national football league, La Liga, which is currently –May 2020– stopped with 11 fixtures remaining. Our model includes two additional states of an individual, confined and quarantined, which are reached when an individual presents COVID-19 symptoms or has undergone a virus test with a positive result. The model also accounts for the interaction dynamics of players, considering three different sources of infection: the player social circle, the contact with his/her team colleagues during training sessions, and the interaction with rivals during a match. Our results highlight the dramatic influence of the days between matches, the fre- quency of virus tests and their sensitivity on the number of players infected at the end of the season. Following our findings, we finally present a variety of strategies to minimize the probability that COVID-19 propagates in case the season of La Liga was re-started after the current lockdown.
dc.identifier.citationJavier M. Buldú, Daniel R. Antequera, Jacobo Aguirre, The resumption of sports competitions after COVID-19 lockdown: The case of the Spanish football league, Chaos, Solitons & Fractals, Volume 138, 2020, 109964, ISSN 0960-0779, https://doi.org/10.1016/j.chaos.2020.109964.
dc.identifier.doihttps://doi.org/10.1016/j.chaos.2020.109964
dc.identifier.issn0960-0779
dc.identifier.urihttps://hdl.handle.net/10115/52657
dc.language.isoen
dc.publisherElsevier
dc.rightsAttribution-NonCommercial-NoDerivatives 4.0 Internationalen
dc.rights.accessRightsinfo:eu-repo/semantics/embargoedAccess
dc.rights.urihttp://creativecommons.org/licenses/by-nc-nd/4.0/
dc.subjectepidemics
dc.subjectcomplex systems
dc.titleThe resumption of sports competitions after COVID-19 lockdown: The case of the Spanish football league
dc.typeArticle

Archivos

Bloque original

Mostrando 1 - 1 de 1
Cargando...
Miniatura
Nombre:
2020_csf_preaceptado.pdf
Tamaño:
472.95 KB
Formato:
Adobe Portable Document Format