The impact of intelligence on decision-making: the EU and the Arab Spring

Arcos, Rubén; Palacios, José-Miguel

doi:10.1080/02684527.2018.1434449

dc.contributor.author	Arcos, Rubén
dc.contributor.author	Palacios, José-Miguel
dc.date.accessioned	2023-12-21T11:22:15Z
dc.date.available	2023-12-21T11:22:15Z
dc.date.issued	2018-02-06
dc.identifier.citation	Rubén Arcos & José-Miguel Palacios (2018) The impact of intelligence on decision-making: the EU and the Arab Spring, Intelligence and National Security, 33:5, 737-754, DOI: 10.1080/02684527.2018.1434449	es
dc.identifier.issn	0268-4527
dc.identifier.uri	https://hdl.handle.net/10115/27647
dc.description.abstract	This article examines the 2007 EU all-source intelligence assessment ‘Worst Case Scenarios for the Narrower Middle East’ and the lack of policy response to the warning provided. SIT-6577/07 mostly predicted and provided forewarning on some of the events lately known as the Arab Spring, as well as a rise of anti-European terrorism, and an increase of refugees and migrants in the European Union. The article offers a post-mortem analysis of the key judgements and main findings of the most significant intelligence product declassified by the EU and discusses the main question: Why the warning was not effective?	es
dc.language.iso	eng	es
dc.publisher	Routledge, Taylor & Francis Group	es
dc.subject	EU INTCEN	es
dc.subject	Single Intelligence Analysis Capacity	es
dc.subject	European Union	es
dc.subject	Arab Spring	es
dc.subject	intelligence	es
dc.subject	intelligence assessment	es
dc.subject	European policy-making	es
dc.subject	intelligence post-mortems	es
dc.title	The impact of intelligence on decision-making: the EU and the Arab Spring	es
dc.type	info:eu-repo/semantics/article	es
dc.identifier.doi	10.1080/02684527.2018.1434449	es
dc.rights.accessRights	info:eu-repo/semantics/openAccess	es